When The Next Asteroid Hitting The Earth 2025 Is Coming. Two weeks ago, when ars first wrote about the asteroid, designated 2024 yr4, nasa's center for near earth object studies estimated a 1.9 percent chance of an impact. The uncertainties in the asteroid's orbit are large enough that 97% of the potential paths through space do not have the asteroid hitting the earth, he adds.

An asteroid between about 130 and 300 ft. For now, that pass near the earth will be no closer than 7.5 million km (4.65 million mi.), according to nasa’s eyes on asteroids website.